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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.36+2.44vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire1.02+2.14vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.65-0.03vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.55-0.98vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30+1.08vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University1.06-2.14vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.59-0.32vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.50-0.14vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.78-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44Boston University1.360.2%1st Place
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4.14University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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2.97Bowdoin College1.650.2%1st Place
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3.02Bowdoin College1.550.2%1st Place
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6.08University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
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3.86Fairfield University1.060.1%1st Place
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6.68Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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7.86Middlebury College-1.500.0%1st Place
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6.96University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Selian | 18.2% | 17.3% | 17.5% | 18.5% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 10.4% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 17.4% | 15.0% | 9.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 24.2% | 22.2% | 18.1% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Chance | 24.0% | 20.5% | 18.8% | 16.6% | 10.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kate Myler | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 17.5% | 20.7% | 19.5% | 9.5% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 13.1% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 20.2% | 12.2% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Colby Green | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 14.9% | 23.4% | 26.5% | 14.8% |
| Robin Potter | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 11.3% | 19.1% | 53.5% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 13.6% | 19.5% | 28.8% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.