Race 9A

polar-bear-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Grace Cannon 13.7% 14.2% 12.8% 16.1% 14.6% 14.4% 9.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
Nathan Selian 16.7% 19.0% 17.9% 16.0% 13.3% 8.8% 5.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Wilson Kaznoski 12.9% 13.1% 14.7% 14.9% 18.2% 14.6% 7.3% 3.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Jonathan Chance 21.0% 20.0% 19.5% 16.3% 11.7% 6.9% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Benjamin Stevens 24.3% 22.2% 19.5% 14.2% 9.9% 5.8% 2.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
James Knowlton 2.8% 3.0% 2.4% 4.5% 5.7% 10.0% 14.8% 18.9% 22.0% 15.9%
Colby Green 1.9% 2.7% 3.3% 5.1% 7.6% 9.9% 18.4% 20.7% 17.4% 13.0%
Kate Myler 3.1% 3.9% 5.6% 6.4% 8.8% 14.4% 17.4% 17.9% 15.3% 7.2%
Sonja Krajewski 2.3% 1.5% 3.2% 3.9% 6.5% 10.6% 13.2% 18.2% 24.1% 16.5%
Robin Potter 1.3% 0.4% 1.1% 2.6% 3.7% 4.6% 7.5% 13.5% 18.3% 47.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.