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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire1.02+2.97vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University1.06+2.06vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.65-0.03vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.55-0.97vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.36-1.68vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.59+0.62vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.78-0.04vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.50-0.12vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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4.06Fairfield University1.060.1%1st Place
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2.97Bowdoin College1.650.2%1st Place
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3.03Bowdoin College1.550.2%1st Place
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3.32Boston University1.360.2%1st Place
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6.62Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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6.96University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
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7.88Middlebury College-1.500.0%1st Place
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6.19University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Cannon | 13.6% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 18.8% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 7.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 10.1% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 20.6% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 23.8% | 21.9% | 18.0% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Chance | 23.2% | 19.9% | 20.0% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 19.7% | 20.4% | 17.3% | 15.9% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Colby Green | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 16.0% | 22.6% | 24.3% | 15.2% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 11.8% | 22.2% | 28.1% | 20.7% |
| Robin Potter | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 20.5% | 53.4% |
| Kate Myler | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 10.8% | 19.5% | 22.1% | 20.3% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.