← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fairfield University-1.56+5.42vs Predicted
-
2University of New Hampshire0.39+1.24vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College-0.01+0.75vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College0.52-1.18vs Predicted
-
5Boston University0.60-2.28vs Predicted
-
6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27-0.12vs Predicted
-
7University of New Hampshire-1.36-0.93vs Predicted
-
8Bates College-2.61-0.12vs Predicted
-
9Middlebury College-1.44-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.42Fairfield University-1.560.0%1st Place
-
3.24University of New Hampshire0.390.2%1st Place
-
3.75Bowdoin College-0.010.1%1st Place
-
2.82Bowdoin College0.520.2%1st Place
-
2.72Boston University0.600.3%1st Place
-
5.88University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
-
6.07University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
-
7.88Bates College-2.610.0%1st Place
-
6.21Middlebury College-1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anastasia Mastrocola | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 20.5% | 24.0% | 13.7% |
| James Sullivan | 15.8% | 23.0% | 20.0% | 18.6% | 12.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kique Ruiz | 13.6% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 19.9% | 16.3% | 11.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Alex Kitay | 24.6% | 23.3% | 21.7% | 15.4% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| John Cabell | 30.4% | 22.7% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Andy Giaya | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 19.8% | 18.8% | 17.2% | 8.0% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 14.0% | 19.4% | 19.0% | 18.6% | 9.4% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 57.6% |
| Benjamin Joseph | 3.6% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 20.3% | 21.1% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.