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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.79+4.76vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.50+4.48vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.43+0.95vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.92+1.49vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.71+1.19vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+1.46vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.67-1.09vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.65+1.25vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-0.49vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.23-2.33vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.21-0.37vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.86-3.30vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.48-6.28vs Predicted
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14Brandeis University1.35-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.76Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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6.48Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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3.95Boston College4.430.2%1st Place
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5.49University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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6.19Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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5.91Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.25Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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8.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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7.67Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.63Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.7University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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6.72Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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12.29Brandeis University1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Barry | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Anne Haeger | 20.3% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Krysta Rohde | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 2.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 9.4% |
| Katii Gullick | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 3.7% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 2.0% |
| Erica Lush | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 14.8% | 20.9% | 19.5% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 5.3% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Andrea Verdeja | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 14.8% | 53.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.