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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas0.88+1.89vs Predicted
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2Miami University0.38+1.49vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.55+0.23vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago0.04-0.05vs Predicted
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5Miami University-0.19-0.62vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-0.17-1.70vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.17-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89University of Saint Thomas0.8824.9%1st Place
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3.49Miami University0.3817.3%1st Place
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3.23Northwestern University0.5518.9%1st Place
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3.95University of Chicago0.0413.8%1st Place
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4.38Miami University-0.1910.4%1st Place
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4.3University of Michigan-0.1710.9%1st Place
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5.76Northwestern University-1.173.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Bittle | 24.9% | 22.8% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Nicholas Barillari | 17.3% | 16.6% | 17.8% | 17.6% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 5.0% |
| Marina Hutzler | 18.9% | 20.4% | 19.5% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 8.6% | 2.5% |
| Carlos Sole | 13.8% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 17.0% | 9.2% |
| Jenna Drobny | 10.4% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 17.8% | 20.0% | 15.2% |
| John McCalmont | 10.9% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 20.8% | 13.2% |
| Azim Usmanov | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 16.4% | 53.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.