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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.52+1.90vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.60+0.94vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.39+0.10vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University-1.56+2.32vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College-0.01-1.35vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.44+0.21vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27-1.08vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.36-1.90vs Predicted
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9Bates College-2.61-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9Bowdoin College0.520.2%1st Place
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2.94Boston University0.600.2%1st Place
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3.1University of New Hampshire0.390.2%1st Place
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6.32Fairfield University-1.560.0%1st Place
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3.65Bowdoin College-0.010.2%1st Place
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6.21Middlebury College-1.440.0%1st Place
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5.92University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
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6.1University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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7.87Bates College-2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Kitay | 24.4% | 21.1% | 22.5% | 14.8% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Cabell | 22.0% | 24.0% | 21.6% | 15.3% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 22.9% | 18.8% | 18.4% | 19.2% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Anastasia Mastrocola | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 19.6% | 20.1% | 14.2% |
| Kique Ruiz | 15.1% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 17.1% | 16.3% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Joseph | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 18.2% | 19.3% | 19.9% | 11.6% |
| Andy Giaya | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 17.0% | 21.1% | 17.4% | 7.3% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 17.7% | 19.6% | 11.3% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 9.9% | 18.7% | 55.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.