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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire-1.36+5.09vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.39+1.24vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College-0.01+0.77vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.52-1.19vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.60-2.28vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-1.56+0.36vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27-1.10vs Predicted
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8Bates College-2.61-0.11vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.44-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.09University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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3.24University of New Hampshire0.390.2%1st Place
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3.77Bowdoin College-0.010.1%1st Place
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2.81Bowdoin College0.520.2%1st Place
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2.72Boston University0.600.3%1st Place
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6.36Fairfield University-1.560.0%1st Place
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5.9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
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7.89Bates College-2.610.0%1st Place
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6.22Middlebury College-1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kathleen Hanson | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 21.0% | 20.1% | 9.8% |
| James Sullivan | 16.0% | 22.9% | 20.4% | 17.9% | 12.5% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kique Ruiz | 13.9% | 13.6% | 17.8% | 19.3% | 16.6% | 11.9% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Alex Kitay | 24.5% | 24.1% | 21.3% | 14.7% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| John Cabell | 30.2% | 23.1% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Anastasia Mastrocola | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 10.6% | 17.5% | 19.2% | 22.6% | 12.7% |
| Andy Giaya | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 19.9% | 18.1% | 17.2% | 7.6% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 58.0% |
| Benjamin Joseph | 3.6% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 20.4% | 21.5% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.