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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.52+1.92vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.39+1.23vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College-0.01+0.75vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-1.36+1.99vs Predicted
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5Bates College-2.61+2.78vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.60-3.28vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-1.44-0.77vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27-2.05vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-1.56-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92Bowdoin College0.520.2%1st Place
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3.23University of New Hampshire0.390.2%1st Place
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3.75Bowdoin College-0.010.1%1st Place
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5.99University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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7.78Bates College-2.610.0%1st Place
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2.72Boston University0.600.3%1st Place
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6.23Middlebury College-1.440.0%1st Place
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5.95University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
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6.43Fairfield University-1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Kitay | 23.7% | 20.7% | 22.5% | 16.4% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 19.4% | 19.4% | 20.0% | 17.9% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Kique Ruiz | 13.9% | 14.8% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 18.2% | 18.4% | 18.7% | 9.6% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 15.9% | 54.1% |
| John Cabell | 26.6% | 25.7% | 19.3% | 13.9% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Joseph | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 20.3% | 21.6% | 10.9% |
| Andy Giaya | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 17.6% | 18.9% | 9.6% |
| Anastasia Mastrocola | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 15.5% | 20.8% | 21.5% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.