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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.52+1.88vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.60+0.90vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-1.44+3.24vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University-1.56+2.31vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.39-1.94vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-1.36+0.04vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College-0.01-3.23vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27-2.05vs Predicted
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9Bates College-2.61-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Bowdoin College0.520.2%1st Place
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2.9Boston University0.600.2%1st Place
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6.24Middlebury College-1.440.0%1st Place
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6.31Fairfield University-1.560.0%1st Place
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3.06University of New Hampshire0.390.2%1st Place
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6.04University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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3.77Bowdoin College-0.010.1%1st Place
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5.95University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
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7.86Bates College-2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Kitay | 24.9% | 22.2% | 20.5% | 15.4% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| John Cabell | 22.3% | 25.0% | 20.0% | 16.4% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Joseph | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 21.0% | 20.9% | 11.3% |
| Anastasia Mastrocola | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 18.0% | 20.6% | 14.3% |
| James Sullivan | 24.0% | 19.9% | 18.9% | 16.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 14.6% | 16.8% | 19.6% | 19.0% | 9.4% |
| Kique Ruiz | 13.4% | 15.5% | 16.8% | 19.6% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Andy Giaya | 4.8% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 18.0% | 19.7% | 16.8% | 9.4% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 18.7% | 55.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.