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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.52+1.94vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.39+1.23vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University-1.56+3.47vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-1.44+2.13vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-1.36+0.95vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College-0.01-2.30vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.60-4.22vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27-2.05vs Predicted
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9Bates College-2.61-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94Bowdoin College0.520.2%1st Place
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3.23University of New Hampshire0.390.2%1st Place
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6.47Fairfield University-1.560.0%1st Place
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6.13Middlebury College-1.440.0%1st Place
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5.95University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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3.7Bowdoin College-0.010.1%1st Place
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2.78Boston University0.600.3%1st Place
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5.95University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
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7.85Bates College-2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Kitay | 24.0% | 21.5% | 20.1% | 16.4% | 10.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| James Sullivan | 19.1% | 20.2% | 19.6% | 17.6% | 12.3% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Anastasia Mastrocola | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 19.1% | 24.8% | 14.1% |
| Benjamin Joseph | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 12.9% | 16.9% | 20.4% | 18.8% | 10.8% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 19.0% | 17.2% | 10.7% |
| Kique Ruiz | 14.5% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 20.6% | 14.9% | 11.1% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| John Cabell | 26.8% | 23.3% | 20.3% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andy Giaya | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 18.8% | 20.7% | 17.4% | 8.5% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 17.8% | 55.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.