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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.60+1.75vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College-0.01+1.91vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-1.44+3.23vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.39-0.97vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.52-2.13vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-1.56+0.37vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27-1.08vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.36-1.92vs Predicted
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9Bates College-2.61-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75Boston University0.600.3%1st Place
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3.91Bowdoin College-0.010.1%1st Place
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6.23Middlebury College-1.440.0%1st Place
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3.03University of New Hampshire0.390.2%1st Place
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2.87Bowdoin College0.520.3%1st Place
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6.37Fairfield University-1.560.0%1st Place
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5.92University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
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6.08University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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7.85Bates College-2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Cabell | 26.6% | 24.2% | 19.2% | 15.7% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kique Ruiz | 9.5% | 15.4% | 19.8% | 17.5% | 18.0% | 11.0% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Joseph | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 16.1% | 18.7% | 22.0% | 11.4% |
| James Sullivan | 21.2% | 21.7% | 21.0% | 17.7% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alex Kitay | 26.7% | 22.2% | 18.9% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Anastasia Mastrocola | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 22.4% | 19.2% | 14.3% |
| Andy Giaya | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 18.6% | 18.0% | 18.8% | 7.5% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 17.9% | 19.2% | 17.9% | 10.9% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 18.1% | 55.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.