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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College-0.01+2.74vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.52+1.05vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.39+0.09vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.60-1.30vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University-1.56+1.27vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-1.36+0.04vs Predicted
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7Bates College-2.61+0.93vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.44-1.77vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74Bowdoin College-0.010.2%1st Place
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3.05Bowdoin College0.520.2%1st Place
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3.09University of New Hampshire0.390.2%1st Place
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2.7Boston University0.600.3%1st Place
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6.27Fairfield University-1.560.0%1st Place
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6.04University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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7.93Bates College-2.610.0%1st Place
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6.23Middlebury College-1.440.0%1st Place
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5.95University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kique Ruiz | 15.1% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 20.2% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Alex Kitay | 18.8% | 26.0% | 19.6% | 16.3% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 22.8% | 19.5% | 16.9% | 18.7% | 13.6% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| John Cabell | 27.5% | 23.3% | 22.0% | 13.4% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Anastasia Mastrocola | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 18.4% | 21.8% | 12.9% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 18.5% | 18.7% | 19.5% | 9.0% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 10.8% | 16.7% | 57.6% |
| Benjamin Joseph | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 21.6% | 19.1% | 12.6% |
| Andy Giaya | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 18.5% | 18.0% | 20.1% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.