Race 9B

polar-bear-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alex Kitay 24.3% 21.3% 18.9% 14.6% 9.4% 7.2% 2.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Kathleen Hanson 4.0% 4.2% 4.9% 6.1% 11.0% 14.4% 15.6% 17.0% 14.2% 8.6%
Anastasia Mastrocola 2.6% 3.2% 4.8% 6.3% 8.3% 11.4% 16.2% 16.4% 18.7% 12.1%
James Sullivan 19.9% 20.8% 19.3% 17.7% 12.1% 5.1% 3.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Kique Ruiz 14.2% 13.9% 16.3% 18.1% 14.6% 13.5% 5.4% 2.7% 1.1% 0.2%
Benjamin Joseph 3.7% 4.2% 5.1% 7.0% 11.1% 12.1% 15.0% 16.5% 16.6% 8.7%
John Cabell 24.6% 23.5% 20.0% 13.3% 10.8% 4.3% 2.9% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Mitchel Soederberg 0.6% 1.1% 1.8% 2.5% 2.9% 5.2% 7.6% 11.7% 16.5% 50.1%
Andy Giaya 3.7% 4.8% 4.7% 8.2% 11.6% 14.7% 17.7% 14.7% 12.8% 7.1%
Adrian Whitney 2.4% 3.0% 4.2% 6.2% 8.2% 12.1% 13.4% 18.4% 19.0% 13.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.