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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College-0.01+2.77vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.60+0.93vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.52-0.10vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University-1.56+2.34vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-1.36+0.97vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.39-2.93vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27-1.05vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.44-1.79vs Predicted
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9Bates College-2.61-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Bowdoin College-0.010.1%1st Place
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2.93Boston University0.600.2%1st Place
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2.9Bowdoin College0.520.3%1st Place
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6.34Fairfield University-1.560.0%1st Place
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5.97University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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3.07University of New Hampshire0.390.2%1st Place
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5.95University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
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6.21Middlebury College-1.440.0%1st Place
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7.87Bates College-2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kique Ruiz | 14.6% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 18.5% | 16.3% | 11.5% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| John Cabell | 22.4% | 24.1% | 21.2% | 15.4% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Kitay | 25.1% | 21.6% | 19.8% | 15.6% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Anastasia Mastrocola | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 20.1% | 23.1% | 12.7% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 11.5% |
| James Sullivan | 21.3% | 21.0% | 21.0% | 15.5% | 12.3% | 6.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Andy Giaya | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 18.6% | 21.1% | 17.5% | 7.5% |
| Benjamin Joseph | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 18.8% | 20.0% | 13.1% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 18.6% | 55.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.