Race 5A

reed-women-new-england-ch

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Anne Haeger 20.3% 16.7% 15.2% 12.0% 8.9% 7.5% 6.4% 4.6% 3.7% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Emily Lambert 9.7% 11.2% 10.2% 7.4% 9.6% 7.6% 9.4% 10.4% 7.3% 7.0% 3.8% 3.9% 1.8% 0.7%
Alexandra Arntsen 4.6% 4.2% 4.3% 5.5% 5.9% 4.6% 5.6% 6.5% 9.0% 8.7% 10.2% 14.8% 11.2% 4.9%
Atlantic Brugman 7.8% 9.9% 9.3% 10.8% 8.5% 9.9% 9.7% 7.1% 7.6% 7.0% 6.2% 4.1% 1.5% 0.6%
Krysta Rohde 5.1% 6.1% 7.0% 7.1% 7.5% 8.2% 9.0% 7.6% 8.4% 8.0% 10.2% 7.3% 6.1% 2.4%
Claire Dennis 6.8% 6.7% 8.2% 7.4% 9.6% 9.5% 8.0% 8.8% 8.2% 8.1% 7.0% 6.5% 4.2% 1.0%
Elizabeth Barry 11.0% 11.3% 10.0% 10.8% 9.4% 8.3% 9.1% 8.2% 7.8% 5.1% 5.0% 2.2% 1.4% 0.4%
Phoebe Sprague 3.6% 4.4% 2.8% 4.9% 4.6% 4.2% 6.6% 5.2% 6.6% 10.0% 9.5% 12.8% 14.7% 10.1%
Amy Hawkins 10.8% 10.0% 11.6% 9.1% 10.0% 12.2% 8.4% 7.6% 6.6% 6.2% 3.5% 2.2% 1.5% 0.3%
Natalie Salk 6.7% 6.8% 8.3% 8.4% 8.0% 9.0% 8.1% 9.0% 8.0% 9.2% 7.5% 5.9% 3.8% 1.3%
Chandler Salisbury 5.8% 5.4% 5.5% 7.7% 7.0% 7.4% 7.8% 8.7% 8.7% 9.6% 9.2% 8.1% 6.6% 2.5%
Katii Gullick 4.6% 3.7% 4.6% 5.1% 6.6% 6.7% 6.8% 8.8% 9.3% 9.0% 9.2% 10.2% 10.7% 4.7%
Erica Lush 2.6% 2.4% 2.3% 2.3% 3.3% 3.4% 3.2% 5.3% 5.8% 6.2% 11.0% 12.6% 22.4% 17.2%
Andrea Verdeja 0.6% 1.2% 0.7% 1.5% 1.1% 1.5% 1.9% 2.2% 3.0% 3.5% 6.3% 8.8% 13.8% 53.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.