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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas0.88+1.82vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago0.04+1.91vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.55+0.20vs Predicted
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4Miami University-0.19+0.46vs Predicted
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5Miami University0.38-1.48vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-0.17-1.77vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.17-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82University of Saint Thomas0.8827.3%1st Place
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3.91University of Chicago0.0413.4%1st Place
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3.2Northwestern University0.5520.4%1st Place
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4.46Miami University-0.198.8%1st Place
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3.52Miami University0.3816.1%1st Place
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4.23University of Michigan-0.1710.7%1st Place
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5.86Northwestern University-1.173.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Bittle | 27.3% | 20.9% | 19.6% | 15.8% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Carlos Sole | 13.4% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 16.5% | 17.1% | 8.2% |
| Marina Hutzler | 20.4% | 19.9% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 13.6% | 8.3% | 2.9% |
| Jenna Drobny | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 17.8% | 21.7% | 15.1% |
| Nicholas Barillari | 16.1% | 17.1% | 18.4% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 5.2% |
| John McCalmont | 10.7% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 17.3% | 18.6% | 12.7% |
| Azim Usmanov | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 17.4% | 54.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.