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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.78+1.49vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-1.47+1.27vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.64-0.71vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester-1.21-1.05vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-2.15-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49Rochester Institute of Technology-0.780.3%1st Place
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3.27Rochester Institute of Technology-1.470.1%1st Place
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2.29Syracuse University-0.640.3%1st Place
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2.95University of Rochester-1.210.2%1st Place
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4.0University of Rochester-2.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Hall | 29.0% | 24.8% | 23.3% | 13.6% | 9.3% |
| Benjamin Knisely | 13.0% | 16.8% | 21.3% | 28.5% | 20.4% |
| Tucker Ballou | 34.2% | 25.5% | 21.5% | 14.5% | 4.3% |
| Nate Shaffer | 17.3% | 22.8% | 21.3% | 25.1% | 13.5% |
| Josephine Freis | 6.5% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 18.3% | 52.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.