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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-1.47+2.27vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.78+0.47vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.64-0.70vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester-1.21-1.06vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-2.15-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Rochester Institute of Technology-1.470.1%1st Place
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2.47Rochester Institute of Technology-0.780.3%1st Place
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2.3Syracuse University-0.640.3%1st Place
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2.94University of Rochester-1.210.2%1st Place
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4.02University of Rochester-2.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Knisely | 13.8% | 16.8% | 20.4% | 26.4% | 22.6% |
| Ethan Hall | 27.1% | 26.3% | 24.6% | 16.2% | 5.8% |
| Tucker Ballou | 34.0% | 25.7% | 21.0% | 14.8% | 4.5% |
| Nate Shaffer | 18.4% | 21.8% | 21.6% | 24.0% | 14.2% |
| Josephine Freis | 6.7% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 18.6% | 52.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.