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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rochester-1.21+1.97vs Predicted
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2University of Rochester-2.15+2.05vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.64-0.72vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.78-1.56vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-1.47-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97University of Rochester-1.210.2%1st Place
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4.05University of Rochester-2.150.1%1st Place
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2.28Syracuse University-0.640.3%1st Place
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2.44Rochester Institute of Technology-0.780.3%1st Place
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3.27Rochester Institute of Technology-1.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Shaffer | 18.2% | 21.1% | 23.2% | 20.8% | 16.7% |
| Josephine Freis | 5.8% | 7.6% | 13.2% | 22.9% | 50.5% |
| Tucker Ballou | 34.0% | 27.0% | 20.4% | 14.2% | 4.4% |
| Ethan Hall | 28.4% | 27.0% | 22.3% | 16.7% | 5.6% |
| Benjamin Knisely | 13.6% | 17.3% | 20.9% | 25.4% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.