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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.65+3.59vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland0.18+6.59vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.54+1.99vs Predicted
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4The Citadel1.11+2.21vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.17-1.45vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.12+3.58vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia0.06+2.02vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.26+0.40vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-0.41+1.15vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60+2.85vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45+3.12vs Predicted
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12William and Mary-1.34+0.36vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina1.28-7.39vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida0.73-6.96vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina-3.12+0.05vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University2.01-12.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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8.59University of Maryland0.180.0%1st Place
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4.99North Carolina State University1.540.1%1st Place
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6.21The Citadel1.110.1%1st Place
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3.55Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
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9.58Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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9.02University of Virginia0.060.0%1st Place
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8.4Clemson University0.260.0%1st Place
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10.15Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
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12.85University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
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14.12University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.0%1st Place
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12.36William and Mary-1.340.0%1st Place
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5.61University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
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7.04University of South Florida0.730.1%1st Place
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15.05University of North Carolina-3.120.0%1st Place
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3.88North Carolina State University2.010.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Sowa | 13.2% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William McCollum | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Usher | 12.0% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 21.2% | 19.7% | 15.5% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 6.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Connor Lothrop | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 14.6% | 16.9% | 13.4% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 18.7% | 28.7% | 19.4% | 6.7% |
| John TIS | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 15.7% | 35.9% | 26.6% |
| Audrey Craig | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 19.4% | 22.4% | 16.6% | 4.5% |
| David Manley | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthias Pietrus | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 20.7% | 61.1% |
| Adam Larson | 18.5% | 14.6% | 18.8% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.