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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.17+2.42vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.01+1.81vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.65+1.63vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.54+0.95vs Predicted
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5The Citadel1.11+1.02vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.12+3.41vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-0.41+3.08vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.73-1.05vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina1.28-3.43vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland0.18-1.43vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45+2.98vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia0.06-3.12vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60-0.37vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-2.64+0.31vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina-2.64-0.68vs Predicted
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16Clemson University0.26-7.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
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3.81North Carolina State University2.010.2%1st Place
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4.63North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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4.95North Carolina State University1.540.1%1st Place
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6.02The Citadel1.110.1%1st Place
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9.41Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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10.08Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
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6.95University of South Florida0.730.1%1st Place
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5.57University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
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8.57University of Maryland0.180.0%1st Place
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13.98University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.0%1st Place
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8.88University of Virginia0.060.0%1st Place
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12.63University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
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14.31William and Mary-2.640.0%1st Place
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14.32University of North Carolina-2.640.0%1st Place
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8.46Clemson University0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 22.5% | 19.8% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 19.5% | 17.3% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 13.0% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 10.4% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 9.9% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 18.3% | 15.3% | 7.6% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Erik Volk | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William McCollum | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John TIS | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 20.7% | 28.3% | 25.8% |
| Connor Lothrop | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 8.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 23.2% | 22.5% | 14.4% | 6.6% |
| Levi Nathans | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 10.2% | 19.1% | 25.1% | 33.7% |
| Grayson Berrier | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 19.7% | 27.3% | 33.6% |
| Rowan Barnes | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.