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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas0.88+1.88vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago0.04+2.03vs Predicted
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3Miami University0.38+0.48vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.55-0.84vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.17-0.66vs Predicted
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6Miami University-0.19-1.66vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.17-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88University of Saint Thomas0.8824.3%1st Place
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4.03University of Chicago0.0413.2%1st Place
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3.48Miami University0.3817.6%1st Place
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3.16Northwestern University0.5521.9%1st Place
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4.34University of Michigan-0.179.2%1st Place
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4.34Miami University-0.1910.5%1st Place
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5.76Northwestern University-1.173.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Bittle | 24.3% | 23.8% | 19.0% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Carlos Sole | 13.2% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 17.4% | 10.5% |
| Nicholas Barillari | 17.6% | 17.2% | 17.5% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 5.3% |
| Marina Hutzler | 21.9% | 20.1% | 17.8% | 16.3% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 3.2% |
| John McCalmont | 9.2% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 18.4% | 19.5% | 13.2% |
| Jenna Drobny | 10.5% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 18.3% | 19.4% | 14.3% |
| Azim Usmanov | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 17.0% | 51.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.