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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.43+3.04vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.67+3.93vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+4.30vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.92+1.44vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.86+3.81vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.79-0.05vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.65+2.04vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.71-1.99vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-0.50vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.50-3.21vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.48-4.15vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.23-4.46vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.21-2.50vs Predicted
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14Brandeis University1.35-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04Boston College4.430.2%1st Place
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5.93Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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5.44University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.81University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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5.95Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.04Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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6.01Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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6.79Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.85Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.54Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.5Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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12.3Brandeis University1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anne Haeger | 19.9% | 17.7% | 15.0% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Krysta Rohde | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.9% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 6.3% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 8.5% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.6% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Katii Gullick | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 4.5% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| Erica Lush | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 22.6% | 17.7% |
| Andrea Verdeja | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 13.9% | 54.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.