Race 6A

sailpack-oriental-intercollegiate

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Adam Larson 19.2% 18.1% 15.7% 14.2% 10.6% 8.9% 6.3% 3.6% 1.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Owen Bannasch 22.3% 18.6% 15.5% 14.2% 8.7% 9.2% 6.2% 2.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Olivia Sowa 12.2% 12.5% 13.9% 12.7% 14.5% 9.7% 9.8% 7.3% 2.9% 2.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Erik Volk 4.3% 5.9% 7.3% 6.5% 7.7% 9.3% 10.5% 10.8% 11.2% 11.1% 8.6% 4.9% 1.7% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Gregory Walters 7.3% 7.8% 9.1% 10.4% 10.0% 11.2% 9.7% 11.3% 9.7% 6.1% 4.9% 2.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Zechariah Frantz 1.2% 1.9% 1.6% 1.7% 3.5% 3.3% 5.3% 8.4% 8.7% 10.0% 14.2% 15.0% 14.8% 7.5% 2.5% 0.4%
William McCollum 3.1% 3.3% 4.7% 4.2% 4.5% 6.0% 7.8% 8.9% 10.3% 13.1% 11.9% 13.8% 6.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Brandon DePalma 2.0% 2.4% 3.6% 2.6% 4.1% 5.4% 8.1% 6.6% 10.8% 11.3% 15.0% 13.8% 9.8% 3.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Jacob Usher 12.5% 11.7% 11.1% 13.1% 13.4% 10.6% 7.9% 8.0% 4.7% 2.9% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Lothrop 3.0% 3.8% 2.5% 3.8% 3.8% 6.2% 6.4% 7.8% 10.8% 13.6% 14.4% 13.2% 7.6% 2.5% 0.4% 0.2%
David Manley 10.0% 9.5% 9.9% 10.1% 10.6% 11.5% 10.3% 11.2% 7.0% 4.9% 3.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Grayson Berrier 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.3% 0.5% 1.2% 1.1% 1.6% 2.2% 4.7% 8.7% 18.5% 27.8% 32.5%
Felicity Davies 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 1.8% 2.0% 3.7% 4.9% 5.8% 11.0% 23.8% 21.9% 14.9% 6.6%
John TIS 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 1.7% 2.1% 5.5% 11.7% 23.5% 25.3% 24.9%
Levi Nathans 0.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 1.7% 1.6% 3.0% 8.1% 18.5% 27.6% 35.3%
Rowan Barnes 2.3% 3.3% 3.8% 4.6% 6.5% 6.5% 8.2% 8.6% 13.2% 12.9% 11.7% 9.9% 6.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.