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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.46+2.46vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.61+1.30vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.17+1.17vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.23+2.43vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.48-1.45vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia0.32+0.18vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.20-0.53vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-1.23+2.20vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland-1.45+1.79vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-1.94+2.21vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.19-0.86vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-0.95-2.47vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-2.06-0.51vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.66-2.62vs Predicted
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15University of South Carolina-2.68-1.08vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-4.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46North Carolina State University1.460.2%1st Place
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3.3Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
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4.17North Carolina State University1.170.1%1st Place
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6.43University of South Florida0.230.0%1st Place
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3.55North Carolina State University1.480.2%1st Place
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6.18University of Virginia0.320.1%1st Place
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6.47The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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10.2Clemson University-1.230.0%1st Place
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10.79University of Maryland-1.450.0%1st Place
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12.21William and Mary-1.940.0%1st Place
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10.14University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.190.0%1st Place
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9.53Florida Institute of Technology-0.950.0%1st Place
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12.49University of North Carolina-2.060.0%1st Place
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11.38Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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13.92University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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11.77University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 21.1% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 23.1% | 19.2% | 18.3% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 14.4% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Brustoski | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Robert Chase | 18.1% | 19.8% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Sullivan | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Trevin Brown | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 1.4% |
| Eric Garvey | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 5.3% |
| Harrison Rohne | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 17.0% | 12.1% |
| Zachary Vance | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Annslee Maloy | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Davis Smith | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 16.5% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 7.8% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 17.5% | 43.2% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.