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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.48+2.44vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.46+1.57vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.61+0.31vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia0.32+2.19vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.17-0.84vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.23+0.39vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.20-0.56vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-1.23+2.15vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.19+1.10vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-0.95-0.43vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland-1.45-0.11vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-1.66-0.54vs Predicted
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13William and Mary-1.94-0.83vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina-2.68-0.22vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-3.21vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina-2.06-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44North Carolina State University1.480.2%1st Place
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3.57North Carolina State University1.460.2%1st Place
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3.31Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
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6.19University of Virginia0.320.1%1st Place
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4.16North Carolina State University1.170.1%1st Place
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6.39University of South Florida0.230.1%1st Place
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6.44The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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10.15Clemson University-1.230.0%1st Place
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10.1University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.190.0%1st Place
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9.57Florida Institute of Technology-0.950.0%1st Place
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10.89University of Maryland-1.450.0%1st Place
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11.46Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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12.17William and Mary-1.940.0%1st Place
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13.78University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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11.79University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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12.58University of North Carolina-2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Chase | 21.4% | 17.8% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 19.7% | 17.4% | 17.9% | 14.7% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 22.4% | 19.0% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Sullivan | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 13.1% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Brustoski | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Trevin Brown | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 2.3% |
| Zachary Vance | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Annslee Maloy | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Eric Garvey | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 5.2% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 9.0% |
| Harrison Rohne | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 14.0% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 39.2% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 9.4% |
| Davis Smith | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 17.9% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.