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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.61+2.24vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.23+4.42vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia0.32+3.22vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.48-0.39vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.17-0.78vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.46-2.35vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.20-0.43vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-1.94+4.42vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.44+2.03vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.19+0.42vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina-1.43+0.09vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-0.95-2.22vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.66-1.30vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-2.06-1.27vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland-1.84-2.71vs Predicted
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16Clemson University-1.23-5.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
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6.42University of South Florida0.230.1%1st Place
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6.22University of Virginia0.320.1%1st Place
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3.61North Carolina State University1.480.2%1st Place
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4.22North Carolina State University1.170.1%1st Place
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3.65North Carolina State University1.460.2%1st Place
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6.57The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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12.42William and Mary-1.940.0%1st Place
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11.03University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.440.0%1st Place
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10.42University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.190.0%1st Place
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11.09University of South Carolina-1.430.0%1st Place
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9.78Florida Institute of Technology-0.950.0%1st Place
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11.7Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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12.73University of North Carolina-2.060.0%1st Place
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12.29University of Maryland-1.840.0%1st Place
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10.61Clemson University-1.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 23.4% | 20.6% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Brustoski | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Sullivan | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Chase | 18.3% | 18.5% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 14.0% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 18.1% | 17.3% | 17.8% | 15.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Rohne | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 20.6% |
| Caroline Lancaster | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.6% |
| Zachary Vance | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
| Alana Vodicka | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 7.7% |
| Annslee Maloy | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 11.7% |
| Davis Smith | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 23.7% |
| Carter Saunders | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 17.3% |
| Trevin Brown | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.