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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.61+2.23vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.48+1.53vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.20+3.53vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.17+0.27vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.46-1.36vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia0.32+0.28vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.23-0.52vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-1.66+3.66vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.19+1.34vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina-2.06+2.83vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-0.95-1.31vs Predicted
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12William and Mary-1.94+0.52vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.44-1.92vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina-1.43-3.03vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland-1.84-2.67vs Predicted
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16Clemson University-1.23-5.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
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3.53North Carolina State University1.480.2%1st Place
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6.53The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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4.27North Carolina State University1.170.1%1st Place
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3.64North Carolina State University1.460.2%1st Place
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6.28University of Virginia0.320.1%1st Place
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6.48University of South Florida0.230.1%1st Place
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11.66Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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10.34University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.190.0%1st Place
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12.83University of North Carolina-2.060.0%1st Place
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9.69Florida Institute of Technology-0.950.0%1st Place
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12.52William and Mary-1.940.0%1st Place
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11.08University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.440.0%1st Place
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10.97University of South Carolina-1.430.0%1st Place
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12.33University of Maryland-1.840.0%1st Place
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10.61Clemson University-1.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 23.0% | 19.8% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Chase | 21.7% | 16.2% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 12.9% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 18.2% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Sullivan | 5.1% | 5.3% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Brustoski | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 12.2% |
| Zachary Vance | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% |
| Davis Smith | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 18.1% | 23.4% |
| Annslee Maloy | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Harrison Rohne | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 21.5% |
| Caroline Lancaster | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 6.9% |
| Alana Vodicka | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% |
| Carter Saunders | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 17.0% | 16.7% |
| Trevin Brown | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.