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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.61+2.29vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.17+2.17vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.46+0.59vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.48-0.42vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.23+1.47vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.20+0.64vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina-1.43+4.16vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia0.32-1.88vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-0.95+0.64vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.44+1.17vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.66+0.70vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-2.06+0.75vs Predicted
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13William and Mary-1.94-0.55vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-1.84-1.82vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.19-4.47vs Predicted
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16Clemson University-1.23-5.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
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4.17North Carolina State University1.170.2%1st Place
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3.59North Carolina State University1.460.2%1st Place
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3.58North Carolina State University1.480.2%1st Place
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6.47University of South Florida0.230.0%1st Place
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6.64The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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11.16University of South Carolina-1.430.0%1st Place
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6.12University of Virginia0.320.1%1st Place
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9.64Florida Institute of Technology-0.950.0%1st Place
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11.17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.440.0%1st Place
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11.7Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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12.75University of North Carolina-2.060.0%1st Place
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12.45William and Mary-1.940.0%1st Place
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12.18University of Maryland-1.840.0%1st Place
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10.53University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.190.0%1st Place
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10.57Clemson University-1.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 21.9% | 21.8% | 17.3% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 16.0% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 19.5% | 17.3% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Chase | 19.5% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Brustoski | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alana Vodicka | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 7.5% |
| Emma Sullivan | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annslee Maloy | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Caroline Lancaster | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 6.1% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 12.0% |
| Davis Smith | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 25.5% |
| Harrison Rohne | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 20.2% |
| Carter Saunders | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 16.3% |
| Zachary Vance | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% |
| Trevin Brown | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.