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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire1.02+2.69vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.36+0.94vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-0.26+3.82vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.01+2.19vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.39+0.24vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.78+2.34vs Predicted
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7Williams College-1.22+2.13vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-1.08vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.80+1.78vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy0.06-3.94vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.36-1.23vs Predicted
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12Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.44+0.05vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering0.52-8.20vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-2.62-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69University of New Hampshire1.020.2%1st Place
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2.94Boston University1.360.3%1st Place
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6.82Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
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6.19Maine Maritime Academy0.010.0%1st Place
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5.24University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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8.34University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
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9.13Williams College-1.220.0%1st Place
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6.92University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
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10.78University of New Hampshire-1.800.0%1st Place
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6.06Maine Maritime Academy0.060.1%1st Place
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9.77University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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12.05Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.440.0%1st Place
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4.8Olin College of Engineering0.520.1%1st Place
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12.26Middlebury College-2.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Cannon | 19.4% | 19.8% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 28.8% | 21.1% | 17.8% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Penelope Weekes | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Griffen Horne | 4.6% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 1.3% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 16.5% | 7.6% | 3.9% |
| Kate Myler | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Cameron McLean | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 15.1% | 20.9% | 19.2% | 13.1% |
| Nathan Hyde | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 11.9% | 6.9% |
| Samuel Ott | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 27.0% | 33.3% |
| James Jagielski | 12.5% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bronwyn Jensen | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 23.1% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.