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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire1.02+2.67vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30+4.73vs Predicted
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3Williams College-1.22+6.29vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.26+2.89vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.01+1.21vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.06+0.13vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.36-4.03vs Predicted
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8Olin College of Engineering0.52-3.16vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire0.39-3.78vs Predicted
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10Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.44+2.05vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.78-2.66vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-1.36-2.21vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.80-2.35vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-2.62-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67University of New Hampshire1.020.2%1st Place
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6.73University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
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9.29Williams College-1.220.0%1st Place
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6.89Middlebury College-0.260.0%1st Place
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6.21Maine Maritime Academy0.010.1%1st Place
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6.13Maine Maritime Academy0.060.1%1st Place
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2.97Boston University1.360.3%1st Place
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4.84Olin College of Engineering0.520.1%1st Place
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5.22University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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12.05Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.440.0%1st Place
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8.34University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
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9.79University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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10.65University of New Hampshire-1.800.0%1st Place
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12.24Middlebury College-2.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Cannon | 19.9% | 19.0% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Myler | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 10.7% | 2.9% |
| Penelope Weekes | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Griffen Horne | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Hyde | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 28.1% | 22.7% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 12.0% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 9.8% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ott | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 15.2% | 23.4% | 35.2% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 5.6% |
| Cameron McLean | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 17.6% | 20.6% | 12.1% |
| Bronwyn Jensen | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 21.9% | 41.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.