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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.55+2.15vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas0.88+0.85vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago0.04+1.02vs Predicted
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4Miami University-0.19+0.44vs Predicted
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5Miami University0.38-1.55vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-1.17-0.28vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.17-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15Northwestern University0.5522.6%1st Place
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2.85University of Saint Thomas0.8825.4%1st Place
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4.02University of Chicago0.0412.3%1st Place
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4.44Miami University-0.198.6%1st Place
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3.45Miami University0.3817.6%1st Place
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5.72Northwestern University-1.174.0%1st Place
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4.37University of Michigan-0.179.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Hutzler | 22.6% | 19.8% | 16.8% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 8.0% | 3.2% |
| Greg Bittle | 25.4% | 23.2% | 19.1% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Carlos Sole | 12.3% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 17.0% | 18.9% | 8.2% |
| Jenna Drobny | 8.6% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 20.2% | 16.4% |
| Nicholas Barillari | 17.6% | 17.1% | 17.6% | 17.3% | 15.1% | 10.8% | 4.5% |
| Azim Usmanov | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 16.3% | 51.3% |
| John McCalmont | 9.4% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 16.5% | 20.6% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.