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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.50+5.57vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.71+3.85vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.48+3.73vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.430.00vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.65+4.41vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+1.49vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.92-1.81vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.67-1.80vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.79-3.10vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.86-1.17vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.23-3.41vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-3.53vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.21-2.50vs Predicted
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14Brandeis University1.35-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.57Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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5.85Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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6.73Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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4.0Boston College4.430.2%1st Place
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9.41Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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7.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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5.19University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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6.2Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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5.9Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.83University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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7.59Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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10.5Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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12.27Brandeis University1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Dennis | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Anne Haeger | 18.1% | 18.7% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 9.2% |
| Krysta Rohde | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Amy Hawkins | 13.4% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Emily Lambert | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 6.2% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% |
| Katii Gullick | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 5.4% |
| Erica Lush | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 22.7% | 16.9% |
| Andrea Verdeja | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 54.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.