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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire1.02+2.67vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.36+0.97vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.01+3.13vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.06+2.04vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.39+0.25vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30+1.04vs Predicted
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7Olin College of Engineering0.52-2.39vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.26-1.20vs Predicted
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9Williams College-1.22+0.41vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.78-1.63vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.36-1.23vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-1.80-1.24vs Predicted
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13Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.44-1.07vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-2.62-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67University of New Hampshire1.020.2%1st Place
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2.97Boston University1.360.3%1st Place
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6.13Maine Maritime Academy0.010.1%1st Place
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6.04Maine Maritime Academy0.060.1%1st Place
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5.25University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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7.04University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
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4.61Olin College of Engineering0.520.1%1st Place
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6.8Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
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9.41Williams College-1.220.0%1st Place
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8.37University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
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9.77University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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10.76University of New Hampshire-1.800.0%1st Place
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11.93Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.440.0%1st Place
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12.25Middlebury College-2.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Cannon | 19.6% | 19.1% | 16.5% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 28.0% | 21.6% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffen Horne | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Hyde | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Kate Myler | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| James Jagielski | 12.4% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Penelope Weekes | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 4.1% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 5.5% |
| Cameron McLean | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 18.1% | 19.2% | 13.9% |
| Samuel Ott | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 15.8% | 24.9% | 32.5% |
| Bronwyn Jensen | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 12.6% | 22.2% | 41.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.