Race 1B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Richard Kalich 13.3% 13.2% 14.5% 13.1% 11.2% 11.6% 9.2% 7.5% 3.3% 1.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Peter Schnell 27.5% 22.1% 17.0% 12.8% 9.5% 5.4% 3.0% 1.2% 0.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Harris 14.1% 18.6% 14.9% 12.7% 12.7% 10.4% 7.5% 4.7% 2.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Felix Nusbaum 5.5% 7.1% 6.5% 10.5% 10.5% 8.7% 12.4% 11.2% 10.5% 9.5% 5.0% 2.2% 0.4%
Gabriel Tamayo 13.2% 13.2% 12.8% 11.7% 13.6% 10.8% 9.5% 7.2% 4.4% 2.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.1%
Talia Trigg 2.1% 2.3% 3.6% 2.8% 5.1% 4.5% 6.8% 7.8% 11.2% 15.4% 17.4% 16.0% 5.0%
Camren Conant 4.7% 3.0% 4.9% 6.1% 5.8% 7.7% 6.9% 12.2% 12.9% 13.8% 13.4% 6.7% 1.9%
Jake Lacoche 6.1% 7.1% 6.2% 7.6% 7.9% 13.1% 11.2% 12.8% 12.0% 7.0% 6.0% 2.6% 0.4%
Griffin Stolp 7.5% 7.5% 8.9% 10.7% 10.0% 11.8% 12.1% 10.0% 9.4% 6.8% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3%
Dalyan Yet 2.1% 2.6% 3.4% 2.6% 3.8% 5.2% 6.8% 8.4% 10.9% 13.7% 17.9% 15.5% 7.1%
Andy Giaya 2.5% 2.7% 5.4% 6.7% 6.2% 6.6% 9.9% 11.0% 14.0% 13.4% 12.1% 7.7% 1.8%
Gavin Tucker 0.9% 0.4% 1.7% 1.9% 2.7% 3.0% 3.1% 5.2% 5.2% 10.0% 15.1% 29.0% 21.8%
Abigail Forcier 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 1.6% 0.8% 2.6% 4.1% 7.0% 18.8% 61.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.