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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Williams College-0.60+5.34vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering0.87+1.00vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.16+1.48vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.35+0.08vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.68+1.49vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.09-1.40vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.20+0.72vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.00vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.68+0.06vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy-0.41-4.19vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-1.67-2.11vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-3.27-0.09vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-2.35-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.34Williams College-0.600.1%1st Place
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3.0Olin College of Engineering0.870.3%1st Place
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4.48Boston University0.160.1%1st Place
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4.08University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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6.49University of New Hampshire-0.680.1%1st Place
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4.6Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.090.1%1st Place
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7.72University of New Hampshire-1.200.0%1st Place
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8.0University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
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9.06Middlebury College-1.680.0%1st Place
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5.81Maine Maritime Academy-0.410.1%1st Place
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8.89Middlebury College-1.670.0%1st Place
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11.91University of New Hampshire-3.270.0%1st Place
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10.61University of New Hampshire-2.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felix Nusbaum | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Peter Schnell | 27.7% | 21.5% | 17.3% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Kalich | 11.7% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 15.0% | 16.4% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jake Lacoche | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Gabriel Tamayo | 12.0% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Camren Conant | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 1.9% |
| Andy Giaya | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 7.7% | 2.7% |
| Dalyan Yet | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 18.2% | 17.1% | 5.8% |
| Griffin Stolp | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Talia Trigg | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 17.3% | 14.2% | 5.6% |
| Abigail Forcier | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 16.8% | 61.1% |
| Gavin Tucker | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 29.8% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.