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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.16+3.51vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.35+2.10vs Predicted
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3Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.09+1.67vs Predicted
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4Olin College of Engineering0.87-0.97vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy-0.41+0.77vs Predicted
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6Williams College-0.60+0.26vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.68-0.57vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.20-0.24vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.68+0.07vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-1.67-0.98vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27-3.12vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-2.35-1.45vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-3.27-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51Boston University0.160.1%1st Place
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4.1University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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4.67Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.090.1%1st Place
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3.03Olin College of Engineering0.870.3%1st Place
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5.77Maine Maritime Academy-0.410.1%1st Place
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6.26Williams College-0.600.1%1st Place
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6.43University of New Hampshire-0.680.1%1st Place
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7.76University of New Hampshire-1.200.0%1st Place
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9.07Middlebury College-1.680.0%1st Place
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9.02Middlebury College-1.670.0%1st Place
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7.88University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
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10.55University of New Hampshire-2.350.0%1st Place
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11.95University of New Hampshire-3.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Kalich | 13.3% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sam Harris | 15.0% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Tamayo | 10.9% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Peter Schnell | 28.0% | 19.9% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Stolp | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Jake Lacoche | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Camren Conant | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 1.8% |
| Dalyan Yet | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 17.7% | 18.2% | 5.1% |
| Talia Trigg | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 17.7% | 15.2% | 7.3% |
| Andy Giaya | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Gavin Tucker | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 16.3% | 27.7% | 21.9% |
| Abigail Forcier | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 19.3% | 60.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.