← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+4.94vs Predicted
-
2Webb Institute1.91+9.14vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University2.18+7.06vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.76+3.35vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University2.86+2.00vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Maritime College3.06+0.30vs Predicted
-
7University of Pennsylvania2.83+0.22vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University2.93-1.31vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-1.16vs Predicted
-
10Princeton University2.35-0.65vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University2.50-2.43vs Predicted
-
12Drexel University1.35+1.30vs Predicted
-
13George Washington University1.90-2.26vs Predicted
-
14Washington College2.11-4.22vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-4.72vs Predicted
-
16Christopher Newport University1.63-3.95vs Predicted
-
17Hampton University1.77-5.44vs Predicted
-
18University of Virginia0.26-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.94St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
-
11.14Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
-
10.06Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
-
7.35U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
-
7.0Cornell University2.860.1%1st Place
-
6.3SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
-
7.22University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
-
6.69Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
-
7.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
-
9.35Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
-
8.57Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
-
13.3Drexel University1.350.0%1st Place
-
10.74George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
-
9.78Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
-
10.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
-
12.05Christopher Newport University1.630.0%1st Place
-
11.56Hampton University1.770.0%1st Place
-
15.85University of Virginia0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rayne Duff | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 3.3% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Gavin McJones | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Hayden Earl | 9.1% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Bruce | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Scott Mais | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Murray | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Connor Mraz | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 0.5% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Toby Sullivan | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 18.7% | 15.5% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 3.6% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Michael Burns | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
| Brian Fox | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 7.9% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 5.2% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 55.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.