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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.06+5.57vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+3.89vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.93+3.91vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.18+5.67vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.83+2.19vs Predicted
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6Princeton University2.35+3.10vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.76+0.43vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.50+0.39vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.11+1.10vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.63+2.21vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.86-3.77vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.90-0.77vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-5.18vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.91-3.47vs Predicted
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15Hampton University1.77-3.64vs Predicted
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16Drexel University1.35-2.88vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-6.58vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia0.26-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.57SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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6.91Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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9.67Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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7.19University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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9.1Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.43U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.39Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.1Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
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12.21Christopher Newport University1.630.0%1st Place
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7.23Cornell University2.860.1%1st Place
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11.23George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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7.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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10.53Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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11.36Hampton University1.770.0%1st Place
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13.12Drexel University1.350.0%1st Place
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10.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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15.85University of Virginia0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benton Amthor | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Leo Boucher | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Mais | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Jordan Bruce | 8.0% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Connor Mraz | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Gavin McJones | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Brian Fox | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 7.8% |
| Hayden Earl | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Wood | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 4.9% |
| Will Murray | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Rayne Duff | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| Valerio Palamara | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 4.8% |
| Toby Sullivan | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 20.3% | 12.4% |
| Michael Burns | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 55.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.