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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.86+6.33vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.35+7.36vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.76+4.64vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.18+5.65vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.90+5.78vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.11+4.11vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.83+0.15vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.50+0.43vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.06-2.83vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-4.07vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-2.87vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.63+0.27vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.93-6.31vs Predicted
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14Hampton University1.77-2.94vs Predicted
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15Drexel University1.35-2.07vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-5.53vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute1.91-5.97vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia0.26-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.33Cornell University2.860.1%1st Place
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9.36Princeton University2.350.0%1st Place
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7.64U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.65Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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10.78George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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10.11Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
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7.15University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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8.43Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.17SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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8.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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12.27Christopher Newport University1.630.0%1st Place
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6.69Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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11.06Hampton University1.770.0%1st Place
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12.93Drexel University1.350.0%1st Place
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10.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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11.03Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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15.86University of Virginia0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Earl | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Connor Mraz | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Gavin McJones | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 3.2% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
| Jordan Bruce | 7.9% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Leo Boucher | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Will Murray | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Brian Fox | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 15.5% | 8.0% |
| Scott Mais | 10.1% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 4.7% |
| Toby Sullivan | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 12.3% |
| Michael Burns | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Rayne Duff | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 3.9% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 13.8% | 55.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.