← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.50+5.58vs Predicted
-
2Boston College4.43+1.88vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University3.67+3.19vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+3.34vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.23+2.67vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University3.48+0.89vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.65+2.05vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95+0.38vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island3.92-3.53vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College3.71-3.88vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont2.86-2.18vs Predicted
-
12Brown University3.79-6.14vs Predicted
-
13Brandeis University1.35-0.70vs Predicted
-
14Boston University2.21-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.58Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
-
3.88Boston College4.430.2%1st Place
-
6.19Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
-
7.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
-
7.67Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
-
6.89Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
-
9.05Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
-
8.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.1%1st Place
-
5.47University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
-
6.12Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
-
8.82University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
-
5.86Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
-
12.3Brandeis University1.350.0%1st Place
-
10.46Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Dennis | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Anne Haeger | 20.8% | 19.2% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Emily Lambert | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Krysta Rohde | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 2.4% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 7.8% |
| Katii Gullick | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 5.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.7% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 6.0% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Andrea Verdeja | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 15.1% | 55.2% |
| Erica Lush | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 14.4% | 23.1% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.