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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.55+2.38vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago0.04+2.09vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.48+1.98vs Predicted
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4Miami University0.38-0.43vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas0.88-2.08vs Predicted
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6Miami University-0.19-1.43vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.17-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38Northwestern University0.5518.4%1st Place
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4.09University of Chicago0.0412.3%1st Place
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4.98Northwestern University-0.487.3%1st Place
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3.57Miami University0.3817.3%1st Place
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2.92University of Saint Thomas0.8824.1%1st Place
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4.57Miami University-0.199.3%1st Place
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4.49University of Michigan-0.1711.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Hutzler | 18.4% | 18.9% | 17.7% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 9.2% | 5.1% |
| Carlos Sole | 12.3% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 13.7% |
| Aviva Kaplan | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 20.6% | 30.7% |
| Nicholas Barillari | 17.3% | 16.0% | 17.1% | 17.1% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 6.9% |
| Greg Bittle | 24.1% | 23.8% | 18.0% | 15.8% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| Jenna Drobny | 9.3% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 18.5% | 20.4% |
| John McCalmont | 11.2% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 17.2% | 17.5% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.