← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+4.40vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University1.90+8.36vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania2.83+3.91vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University2.86+2.86vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University3.22+0.42vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.76+1.30vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Maritime College3.06-0.95vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University2.18+1.19vs Predicted
-
9Washington College2.11+0.87vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.99+0.03vs Predicted
-
11Drexel University1.35+1.55vs Predicted
-
12Princeton University2.35-3.25vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.64-1.42vs Predicted
-
14Hampton University1.77-2.87vs Predicted
-
15Christopher Newport University1.63-3.53vs Predicted
-
16Webb Institute1.54-4.13vs Predicted
-
17Fordham University2.50-8.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
-
10.36George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
-
6.91University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
-
6.86Cornell University2.860.1%1st Place
-
5.42Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
-
7.3U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
-
6.05SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
-
9.19Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
-
9.87Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
-
10.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.990.0%1st Place
-
12.55Drexel University1.350.0%1st Place
-
8.75Princeton University2.350.0%1st Place
-
11.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.640.0%1st Place
-
11.13Hampton University1.770.0%1st Place
-
11.47Christopher Newport University1.630.0%1st Place
-
11.87Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
-
8.25Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 13.8% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 5.7% |
| Jordan Bruce | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Hayden Earl | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Mariner Fagan | 13.1% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Gavin McJones | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 4.8% |
| Toby Sullivan | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 14.5% | 24.1% |
| Connor Mraz | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Thomas Green | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 12.7% |
| Valerio Palamara | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 10.8% |
| Brian Fox | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 13.1% |
| Everett Botwinick | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 14.9% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.