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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.91+9.35vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.11+7.72vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+7.05vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.99+6.32vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.83+1.87vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.06+0.35vs Predicted
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7Princeton University2.35+1.85vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.18+1.36vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.22-3.28vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.76-2.82vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+0.82vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.50-3.68vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-7.30vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.86-6.94vs Predicted
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15Drexel University1.35-2.50vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.63-4.32vs Predicted
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17Hampton University1.77-5.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.35Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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9.72Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
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10.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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10.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.990.0%1st Place
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6.87University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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6.35SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.85Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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9.36Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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5.72Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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7.18U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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11.82St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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8.32Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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7.06Cornell University2.860.1%1st Place
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12.5Drexel University1.350.0%1st Place
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11.68Christopher Newport University1.630.0%1st Place
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11.15Hampton University1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 4.7% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% |
| Michael Burns | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% |
| Jordan Bruce | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Connor Mraz | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% |
| Mariner Fagan | 10.6% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gavin McJones | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 16.9% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Leo Boucher | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Earl | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Toby Sullivan | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 23.8% |
| Brian Fox | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 13.2% |
| Valerio Palamara | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.