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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.55+2.27vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas0.88+0.87vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.17+1.50vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago0.04+0.10vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.48+0.03vs Predicted
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6Miami University-0.19-1.40vs Predicted
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7Miami University0.38-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Northwestern University0.5519.6%1st Place
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2.87University of Saint Thomas0.8825.8%1st Place
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4.5University of Michigan-0.179.7%1st Place
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4.1University of Chicago0.0412.3%1st Place
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5.03Northwestern University-0.486.2%1st Place
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4.6Miami University-0.1910.1%1st Place
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3.63Miami University0.3816.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Hutzler | 19.6% | 20.4% | 18.8% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 4.5% |
| Greg Bittle | 25.8% | 23.4% | 18.2% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| John McCalmont | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 18.4% | 19.6% |
| Carlos Sole | 12.3% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 12.9% |
| Aviva Kaplan | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 19.7% | 31.8% |
| Jenna Drobny | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 19.6% | 21.8% |
| Nicholas Barillari | 16.4% | 16.0% | 16.5% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.