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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.50+4.78vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.45+3.81vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.68+2.25vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.29+2.55vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.93+2.80vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.74-0.74vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-0.84vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.02-0.62vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.81-0.87vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.56-1.04vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-1.01vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.74-3.71vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University0.55-0.05vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.18-7.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.78Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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5.81Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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5.25Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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6.55Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.8University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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5.26Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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7.38University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.13Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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8.96Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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9.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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8.29Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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12.95Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
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6.7Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Maxwell | 9.6% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 11.1% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Maggie Shea | 13.4% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Catherine Swanson | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 1.8% |
| Marlena Fauer | 12.6% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 1.7% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 3.1% |
| Katherine Doble | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 5.0% |
| Jamie Curran | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 24.4% | 9.4% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 4.0% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 10.3% | 71.9% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.