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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+3.91vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.35+4.97vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+1.85vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.62+1.82vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.77+3.86vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.24+4.84vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.35-0.21vs Predicted
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8Princeton University1.08+3.28vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.90-0.69vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82-1.09vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.27-0.12vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-5.07vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.79-0.78vs Predicted
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14Hampton University0.81-1.95vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.35-8.27vs Predicted
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16Washington College0.51-2.67vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.06-2.42vs Predicted
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18Drexel University-1.22-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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6.97George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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4.85St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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5.82Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.86Webb Institute1.770.0%1st Place
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10.84Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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6.79University of Pennsylvania2.350.1%1st Place
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11.28Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
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8.31Fordham University1.900.1%1st Place
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8.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.1%1st Place
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10.88Cornell University1.270.0%1st Place
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6.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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12.22Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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12.05Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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6.73SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
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13.33Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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14.58University of Virginia0.060.0%1st Place
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16.75Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 13.9% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Timms | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 13.7% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Cook | 11.7% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Schmid | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Diogo Silva | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Javier Garcon | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 1.2% |
| Patrick Dolan | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| William Weinbecker | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 1.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| David Grace | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 3.3% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 3.4% |
| Spencer Barnes | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 7.4% |
| Connor Lothrop | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 28.0% | 14.2% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 12.9% | 67.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.