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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+4.00vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.35+5.02vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.81vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.35+2.70vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+1.60vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.35+0.78vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.77+1.88vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.78+0.72vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.62-3.27vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82-1.08vs Predicted
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11Hampton University0.81+1.37vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia0.06+2.69vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.24-2.36vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.27-3.59vs Predicted
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15Princeton University1.08-3.73vs Predicted
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16Washington College0.51-2.69vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.79-4.60vs Predicted
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18Drexel University-1.22-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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7.02George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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4.81U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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6.7SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
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6.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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6.78University of Pennsylvania2.350.1%1st Place
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8.88Webb Institute1.770.0%1st Place
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8.72Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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5.73Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.1%1st Place
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12.37Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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14.69University of Virginia0.060.0%1st Place
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10.64Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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10.41Cornell University1.270.0%1st Place
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11.27Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
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13.31Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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12.4Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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16.75Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Hennessey | 12.9% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Timms | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Smith | 14.2% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Barnes | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Javier Garcon | 8.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Schmid | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Edward Cook | 10.1% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Weinbecker | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 3.9% |
| Connor Lothrop | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 27.5% | 15.7% |
| Diogo Silva | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Asher Green | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 1.3% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 16.8% | 17.3% | 6.5% |
| David Grace | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 2.9% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 6.0% | 13.2% | 67.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.