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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.35+5.96vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+2.82vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.77+6.07vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.75vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.62+0.83vs Predicted
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6Princeton University1.08+5.41vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.78+1.81vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82+0.59vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.35-2.31vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.24+0.98vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.35-4.19vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.27-1.04vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.79-0.89vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-7.58vs Predicted
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15Washington College0.51-1.77vs Predicted
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16Hampton University0.81-3.69vs Predicted
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17Drexel University-1.22-0.08vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia0.06-3.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.96University of Pennsylvania2.350.1%1st Place
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4.82U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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9.07Webb Institute1.770.0%1st Place
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4.75St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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5.83Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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11.41Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
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8.81Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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8.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.0%1st Place
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6.69George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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10.98Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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6.81SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
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10.96Cornell University1.270.0%1st Place
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12.11Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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6.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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13.23Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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12.31Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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16.92Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
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14.31University of Virginia0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Garcon | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Smith | 12.3% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Schmid | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Owen Hennessey | 16.0% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Cook | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 2.0% |
| Beckett Kumler | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| William Weinbecker | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Owen Timms | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 1.1% |
| Spencer Barnes | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 2.7% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 0.8% |
| David Grace | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 2.7% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 17.3% | 6.2% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 3.8% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 10.8% | 70.4% |
| Connor Lothrop | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 16.3% | 26.2% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.