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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.78+8.25vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.35+5.16vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.35+4.12vs Predicted
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4Princeton University1.08+7.44vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.99-0.21vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+0.81vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-2.13vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.77+0.96vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.93-0.60vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82-0.82vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.35-3.98vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.62-5.69vs Predicted
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13Hampton University0.81-0.66vs Predicted
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14Washington College0.51-0.82vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.27-4.09vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.06-1.30vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University1.08-5.27vs Predicted
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18Drexel University-1.22-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.25Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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7.16George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.12SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
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11.44Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
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4.79U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
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6.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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4.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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8.96Webb Institute1.770.0%1st Place
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8.4Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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9.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.0%1st Place
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7.02University of Pennsylvania2.350.1%1st Place
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6.31Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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12.34Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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13.18Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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10.91Cornell University1.270.0%1st Place
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14.7University of Virginia0.060.0%1st Place
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11.73Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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16.84Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beckett Kumler | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Owen Timms | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Barnes | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 1.7% |
| Nathan Smith | 17.1% | 15.5% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 14.6% | 15.6% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Schmid | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| William Weinbecker | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Javier Garcon | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Edward Cook | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 7.1% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Connor Lothrop | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 29.9% | 15.6% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 2.1% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 14.2% | 68.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.