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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.54+5.07vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+2.75vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.35+3.87vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.35+2.95vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+1.57vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.78+3.10vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.35-0.10vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.77+0.79vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.99-4.04vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.93-1.76vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.27-0.21vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82-3.26vs Predicted
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13Hampton University0.81-0.74vs Predicted
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14Washington College0.51-0.88vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.08-3.70vs Predicted
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16Princeton University1.08-4.65vs Predicted
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17Drexel University-1.22-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.75St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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6.87SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
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6.95George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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9.1Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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6.9University of Pennsylvania2.350.1%1st Place
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8.79Webb Institute1.770.1%1st Place
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4.96U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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8.24Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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10.79Cornell University1.270.0%1st Place
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8.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.0%1st Place
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12.26Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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13.12Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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11.3Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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11.35Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
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16.23Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Escobar | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 16.2% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Barnes | 8.1% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Owen Timms | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Beckett Kumler | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Javier Garcon | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Schmid | 6.0% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Smith | 11.8% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 2.2% |
| William Weinbecker | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 16.5% | 17.9% | 6.0% |
| Kennedy Jones | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 28.4% | 8.4% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 3.0% |
| Asher Green | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 2.9% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 76.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.