← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+3.57vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+4.44vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University1.78+5.81vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University2.35+2.77vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Maritime College2.35+1.53vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82+2.78vs Predicted
-
7Christopher Newport University1.08+4.16vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania2.35-1.41vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University2.54-2.78vs Predicted
-
10Princeton University1.08+1.16vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University1.24-0.32vs Predicted
-
12Cornell University1.27-1.48vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Naval Academy2.99-8.26vs Predicted
-
14Hampton University0.81-1.87vs Predicted
-
15Webb Institute1.77-6.21vs Predicted
-
16Washington College0.51-3.06vs Predicted
-
17Drexel University-1.22-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
-
6.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
-
8.81Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
-
6.77George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
-
6.53SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
-
8.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.0%1st Place
-
11.16Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
-
6.59University of Pennsylvania2.350.1%1st Place
-
6.22Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
-
11.16Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
-
10.68Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
-
10.52Cornell University1.270.0%1st Place
-
4.74U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
-
12.13Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
-
8.79Webb Institute1.770.0%1st Place
-
12.94Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
-
16.18Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Hennessey | 17.0% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Beckett Kumler | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Owen Timms | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Barnes | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Weinbecker | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 2.7% |
| Javier Garcon | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Diego Escobar | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Asher Green | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 3.2% |
| Diogo Silva | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 2.3% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 2.5% |
| Nathan Smith | 14.0% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 19.5% | 4.1% |
| Calvin Schmid | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 23.5% | 9.6% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 10.5% | 74.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.