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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.35+5.49vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.54+3.96vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.08+8.11vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.99+0.72vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.77+3.54vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.24+4.77vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82+1.55vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-3.31vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.35-2.13vs Predicted
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10Washington College0.51+2.95vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.35-4.18vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-5.43vs Predicted
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13Hampton University0.81-0.87vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.78-5.16vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.27-4.48vs Predicted
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16Drexel University-1.22+0.18vs Predicted
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17Princeton University1.08-5.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
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5.96Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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11.11Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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4.72U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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8.54Webb Institute1.770.0%1st Place
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10.77Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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8.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.1%1st Place
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4.69St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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6.87George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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12.95Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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6.82University of Pennsylvania2.350.1%1st Place
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6.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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12.13Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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8.84Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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10.52Cornell University1.270.0%1st Place
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16.18Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
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11.27Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Barnes | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Diego Escobar | 10.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 3.1% |
| Nathan Smith | 14.5% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Schmid | 4.5% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Diogo Silva | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 2.2% |
| William Weinbecker | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Owen Hennessey | 16.7% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Timms | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 23.8% | 7.9% |
| Javier Garcon | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 4.6% |
| Beckett Kumler | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 10.2% | 75.5% |
| Asher Green | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.