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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+3.60vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.35+4.56vs Predicted
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3Princeton University1.08+8.09vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.24+6.55vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82+3.42vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.78+2.92vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.35-0.29vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-1.52vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.54-2.73vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.35-3.33vs Predicted
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11Hampton University0.81+1.08vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-7.24vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.08-1.74vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.27-3.35vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute1.77-6.20vs Predicted
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16Washington College0.51-3.02vs Predicted
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17Drexel University-1.22-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
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6.56SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
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11.09Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
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10.55Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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8.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.0%1st Place
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8.92Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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6.71George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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6.27Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.67University of Pennsylvania2.350.1%1st Place
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12.08Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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4.76St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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11.26Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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10.65Cornell University1.270.0%1st Place
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8.8Webb Institute1.770.0%1st Place
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12.98Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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16.2Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 17.8% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Barnes | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 2.8% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 1.0% |
| William Weinbecker | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Beckett Kumler | 4.6% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Owen Timms | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diego Escobar | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Javier Garcon | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 15.6% | 17.9% | 5.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 14.3% | 16.8% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 3.9% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 1.8% |
| Calvin Schmid | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 16.0% | 23.7% | 8.7% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 9.4% | 75.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.