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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+3.57vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.78+6.67vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.24+7.58vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.54+2.13vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.35+1.62vs Predicted
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6Princeton University1.08+5.36vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.99-2.30vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.35-1.38vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82-0.27vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.35-3.42vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-4.33vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.77-3.24vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.08-1.78vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.27-3.35vs Predicted
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15Washington College0.51-2.15vs Predicted
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16Hampton University0.81-3.89vs Predicted
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17Drexel University-1.22-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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8.67Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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10.58Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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6.13Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.62SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
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11.36Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
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4.7U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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6.62George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.73U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.0%1st Place
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6.58University of Pennsylvania2.350.1%1st Place
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6.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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8.76Webb Institute1.770.0%1st Place
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11.22Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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10.65Cornell University1.270.0%1st Place
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12.85Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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12.11Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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16.21Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Hennessey | 17.6% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Beckett Kumler | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Diogo Silva | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 2.0% |
| Diego Escobar | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Barnes | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 2.8% |
| Nathan Smith | 14.2% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Timms | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Weinbecker | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Javier Garcon | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 10.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Schmid | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 4.2% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 1.3% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 26.0% | 8.7% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 5.0% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 74.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.